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Claridad en los movimientos del mercado: Previsión 2024 en bolsa – Últimas noticias – TURKISHNEWSWORLD.COM Las recientes fluctuaciones en el mercado de valores y su impacto en la economía
Las caídas recientes registradas en el mercado de valores, que ha experimentado un alto rendimiento desde el inicio de la pandemia, han sido muy notables. El índice BIST 100, que en diciembre había descendido desde los 8.000 puntos, disminuyó un 2,67 por ciento el viernes, marcando un nuevo récord histórico al superar los 8.560 puntos el 3 de octubre.
Ante esta situación, surgen dudas sobre las razones de estas fuertes fluctuaciones, qué podemos esperar del mercado de valores el próximo año y cuál es el nuevo objetivo máximo del índice BIST 100. Además, nos cuestionamos qué es más atractivo en este momento: los depósitos o el oro.
El economista Hikmet Baydar ha proporcionado respuestas a todas estas preguntas en su análisis para milliyet.com.tr, en el que destacó que las fluctuaciones actuales no implican necesariamente una tendencia a la baja o al alza, sino que reflejan un ajuste de posiciones a medida que nos acercamos al fin de año.
Baydar señaló que el reciente descenso en el índice industrial, que cerró en 11.513,23 puntos, descendiendo un 3,11% el viernes, refleja la situación del sector de la construcción, que se ve afectado por las medidas tomadas en el marco de la política monetaria restrictiva. Asimismo, destacó que las altas tasas de interés y el riesgo de recesión representan una seria amenaza tanto para las economías globales como para la economía de nuestro país, lo que afecta negativamente las expectativas futuras del mercado de valores.
En cuanto a las perspectivas futuras, Baydar menciona que el soporte de Fibonacci del mercado de valores se coloca en torno a 7574, y que los niveles de 7450 presentan un alto potencial de compra. Además, resalta que las empresas con un buen sector y calidad de gestión siempre amortizan la inversión, mientras que el riesgo es alto para quienes realizan transacciones con crédito a corto plazo. Por otro lado, menciona que las empresas de TI y tecnología que gestionan actividades innovadoras, así como el sector de la energía, presentan serias oportunidades de inversión.
En cuanto a las expectativas para 2024, Baydar sostiene que, aunque no son tan favorables como para 2023, todavía se mantiene la posibilidad de crecimiento, particularmente en sectores y empresas específicas.
Finalmente, el experto aborda la cuestión de si es más seguro invertir en depósitos o en oro. Destaca que si bien los intereses de los depósitos se consideran ventajosos por proporcionar rendimientos reales de acuerdo con la inflación objetivo, el oro seguirá siendo un activo favorito, especialmente en un contexto de incremento de los riesgos geopolíticos. Además, menciona que las expectativas de recortes en las tasas de interés para 2024 podrían aumentar la atracción por el oro.
En resumen, las recientes caídas del mercado de valores han generado incertidumbre y han afectado las expectativas futuras de inversión en el sector. En este sentido, es importante evaluar detenidamente el panorama actual y las perspectivas a largo plazo antes de tomar cualquier decisión de inversión.
Esta noticia fue tomada de esta fuente y eescrita por inteligencia artificial..
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